UnitLevel 2Undergraduate

MTH2225 Mathematics of uncertainty (Advanced)

Faculty of Science

MTH2225 Mathematics of uncertainty (Advanced) is a level 2, 6-credit-point, undergraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2026 in Semester 1 at Clayton. It has no prerequisites and unlocks 1 unit, leading on to 5 units in all.

Credit points
6
Offered in 2026
Semester 1
Clayton
Assessment
Exam 40%
and 1 other task

This is the 2026 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.

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Requisites

Before MTH2225

No prerequisites or corequisites besides the enrolment rules below.

After MTH2225

1 unit list MTH2225 as a prerequisite or corequisite.

Enrolment rules

PREREQUISITE: A High Distinction in MTH1030, or a Distinction in MTH1035, or a Distinction in ENG1005, or a High Distinction in MAT1841 or by approval of the unit coordinator.

You must enrol in this unit manually via the online Enrolment Amendment form.

COREQUISITE: At least one of MTH2010, MTH2015, MTH2021, MTH2025, MTH2040, MTH2019 or ENG2005

PROHIBIITON: MTH2222

Overview

This unit provides an introduction to probability - mathematical treatment. Topics include: probability axioms, conditional probabilities and the law of total probability, discrete and continuous random variables, univariate and multivariate distributions, independence and conditioning, conditional distributions and conditional expectations, moment generating functions, simulation, the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.

Offerings in 2026

Teaching periodCampusMode
First semesterClaytonOn campus

Assessment

  • Continuous assessmentDemonstration
    60%
  • Final assessment (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination
    40%

Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.

Learning outcomes

When you finish this unit, you should be able to:

  1. 1

    Model and interpret uncertainty using probability spaces, independence, conditional probability, and a range of discrete and continuous distributions, including multivariate contexts;

  2. 2

    Analyse and compute expectations, variances, moments, and distributions, applying key results such as the Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem, and moment generating functions;

  3. 3

    Apply simulation techniques and random number generation to approximate probabilities, expectations, and the behaviour of random processes;

  4. 4

    Communicate probabilistic reasoning effectively and apply probability models to formulate and solve real-world problems in science, engineering, finance, and related disciplines;

  5. 5

    Develop rigorous proofs of fundamental results in probability using advanced tools such as conditioning, generating functions, convergence concepts, and limit theorems.

Workload and teaching

  • Applied sessions22 hours
  • Workshops12 hours
  • Seminars36 hours
  • Teaching approachActive learning
  • Three 1-hour seminars;
  • One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12);
  • One 1-hour workshop and
  • 6 hours of independent study per week.

The default format for maths units applies to this new unit, too. In particular, in the stand-up applied classes students work on whiteboards through problems in groups of 3 or 4.

Learning resources

Required resources

Dimitri P. Bertsekas and John N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Probability, Athena Scientific, 2002.

Where it fits

MTH2225 is part of 10 areas of study in the 2026 handbook.

Contacts

Unit Coordinators
Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio
Chief Examiners
Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio

Common questions

What are the prerequisites for MTH2225?

MTH2225 has no prerequisites, but enrolment rules apply.

What can I take after MTH2225?

MTH2225 is a prerequisite or corequisite for 1 unit, including MTH3251. Those lead on to 5 units in all.

When is MTH2225 offered?

In 2026, MTH2225 runs in Semester 1 at Clayton.

Does MTH2225 have an exam?

Yes. The exam is worth 40% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.

Which majors and minors include MTH2225?

MTH2225 is part of Applied mathematics; Financial and insurance mathematics; Mathematical statistics; Mathematics; and Pure mathematics.

More details

Credit points
6
Level
2
Study level
Undergraduate
Faculty
Faculty of Science
Organisational unit
School of Mathematics
Type
Coursework
EFTSL
0.125
Student contribution
SCA Band 1
Study abroad
Available
Handbook years
202220232024202520262027