UnitLevel 4Undergraduate and Postgraduate

MTH4230 Time series and random processes in linear systems

Faculty of Science

MTH4230 Time series and random processes in linear systems is a level 4, 6-credit-point, undergraduate and postgraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2026 in Semester 2 at Clayton. It has no prerequisites.

Credit points
6
Offered in 2026
Semester 2
Clayton
Assessment
Exam 50%
and 1 other task

This is the 2026 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.

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Requisites

Before MTH4230

No prerequisites or corequisites besides the enrolment rules below.

After MTH4230

No unit lists MTH4230 as a prerequisite in the 2026 handbook.

Enrolment rules

Prohibition: MTH3230

You must be enrolled in the Graduate Certificate in Mathematics or the Master of Mathematics

Overview

Multivariate distributions. Estimation: maximum of likelihood and method of moments. Confidence intervals. Analysis in the time domain: stationary models, autocorrelation, partial autocorrelation. ARMA and ARIMA models. Analysis in the frequency domain (Spectral analysis): spectrum, periodigram, linear and digital filters, cross-correlations and cross-spectrum, spectral estimators, confidence interval for the spectral density. State-space models. Kalman filter. Empirical Orthogonal Functions and other Eigen Methods. Use of ITSM.

Offerings in 2026

Teaching periodCampusMode
Second semesterClaytonOn campus

Assessment

  • Continuous assessmentDemonstration
    50%
  • Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination
    50%

Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.

Learning outcomes

When you finish this unit, you should be able to:

  1. 1

    Analyse and evaluate stationary time series models, including autoregressive and moving average processes, and apply projection methods for forecasting;

  2. 2

    Perform time and frequency domain analysis of time series data, applying techniques such as the Kalman filter and using ITSM to interpret and evaluate results;

  3. 3

    Integrate theoretical understanding with practical implementation by applying stochastic models and computational tools to real data problems;

  4. 4

    Extend and deepen understanding of time series methods through advanced model synthesis, rigorous analysis, and independent application to complex or novel datasets.

  5. 5

    Apply the Kalman filter to random systems, demonstrating proficiency in both theoretical understanding and practical implementation.

  6. 6

    Conduct analysis of time series data using the ITSM package, showcasing the ability to handle complex datasets and derive meaningful insights

Workload and teaching

  • Applied sessions22 hours
  • Seminars36 hours
  • Teaching approachActive learning

Three 1-hour seminars;
One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
7 hours of independent study per week.

Active learning will occur in lectures and applied classes.

Contacts

Chief Examiners
Associate Professor Tianhai Tian
Unit Coordinators
Associate Professor Tianhai Tian

Common questions

What are the prerequisites for MTH4230?

MTH4230 has no prerequisites, but enrolment rules apply.

When is MTH4230 offered?

In 2026, MTH4230 runs in Semester 2 at Clayton.

Does MTH4230 have an exam?

Yes. The exam is worth 50% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.

More details

Credit points
6
Level
4
Study level
Undergraduate and Postgraduate
Faculty
Faculty of Science
Organisational unit
School of Mathematics
Type
Coursework
EFTSL
0.125
Student contribution
SCA Band 1
Study abroad
Available
Handbook years
202520262027