MTH4230 Time series and random processes in linear systems
Faculty of Science
MTH4230 Time series and random processes in linear systems is a level 4, 6-credit-point, undergraduate and postgraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2026 in Semester 2 at Clayton. It has no prerequisites.
- Credit points
- 6
- Offered in 2026
- Semester 2
- Clayton
- Assessment
- Exam 50%
- and 1 other task
This is the 2026 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.
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Requisites
Before MTH4230
No prerequisites or corequisites besides the enrolment rules below.
After MTH4230
No unit lists MTH4230 as a prerequisite in the 2026 handbook.
Enrolment rules
Prohibition: MTH3230
You must be enrolled in the Graduate Certificate in Mathematics or the Master of Mathematics
Overview
Multivariate distributions. Estimation: maximum of likelihood and method of moments. Confidence intervals. Analysis in the time domain: stationary models, autocorrelation, partial autocorrelation. ARMA and ARIMA models. Analysis in the frequency domain (Spectral analysis): spectrum, periodigram, linear and digital filters, cross-correlations and cross-spectrum, spectral estimators, confidence interval for the spectral density. State-space models. Kalman filter. Empirical Orthogonal Functions and other Eigen Methods. Use of ITSM.
Offerings in 2026
| Teaching period | Campus | Mode |
|---|---|---|
| Second semester | Clayton | On campus |
Assessment
- Continuous assessmentDemonstration50%
- Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination50%
Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.
Learning outcomes
When you finish this unit, you should be able to:
- 1
Analyse and evaluate stationary time series models, including autoregressive and moving average processes, and apply projection methods for forecasting;
- 2
Perform time and frequency domain analysis of time series data, applying techniques such as the Kalman filter and using ITSM to interpret and evaluate results;
- 3
Integrate theoretical understanding with practical implementation by applying stochastic models and computational tools to real data problems;
- 4
Extend and deepen understanding of time series methods through advanced model synthesis, rigorous analysis, and independent application to complex or novel datasets.
- 5
Apply the Kalman filter to random systems, demonstrating proficiency in both theoretical understanding and practical implementation.
- 6
Conduct analysis of time series data using the ITSM package, showcasing the ability to handle complex datasets and derive meaningful insights
Workload and teaching
- Applied sessions22 hours
- Seminars36 hours
- Teaching approachActive learning
Three 1-hour seminars;
One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
7 hours of independent study per week.
Active learning will occur in lectures and applied classes.
Contacts
- Chief Examiners
- Associate Professor Tianhai Tian
- Unit Coordinators
- Associate Professor Tianhai Tian
Common questions
What are the prerequisites for MTH4230?
MTH4230 has no prerequisites, but enrolment rules apply.
When is MTH4230 offered?
In 2026, MTH4230 runs in Semester 2 at Clayton.
Does MTH4230 have an exam?
Yes. The exam is worth 50% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.