MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty
Faculty of Science
MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty is a level 2, 6-credit-point, undergraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2027 in Semester 1 at Clayton. It needs MTH1030, MTH1035, ENG1005 or MAT1841 and unlocks 4 units, leading on to 23 units in all.
- Credit points
- 6
- Offered in 2027
- Semester 1
- Clayton
- Assessment
- Exam 40%
- and 1 other task
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Requisites
Before MTH2222
Corequisites
Pass these before, or take them in the same semester.
- MTH2010Multivariable calculusNo reviews yet
- MTH2015Multivariable calculus (advanced)No reviews yet
- MTH2021Linear algebra with applicationsNo reviews yet
- MTH2025Linear algebra (Advanced)No reviews yet
- MTH2040Mathematical modellingNo reviews yet
- ENG2005Advanced engineering mathematicsNo reviews yet
- MTH2019Multivariate mathematics for data scienceNo reviews yet
After MTH2222
4 units list MTH2222 as a prerequisite or corequisite.
Overview
Introduction to probability - a mathematical treatment. Topics include: probability axioms, conditional probabilities and the law of total probability, discrete and continuous random variables, univariate and multivariate distributions, independence and conditioning, conditional distributions and conditional expectations, moment generating functions, simulation, the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.
Offerings in 2027
| Teaching period | Campus | Mode |
|---|---|---|
| First semester | Clayton | On campus |
Assessment
- Continuous assessmentDemonstration60%
- Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination40%
Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.
Learning outcomes
When you finish this unit, you should be able to:
- 1
Model and interpret uncertainty using probability spaces, independence, conditional probability, and a range of discrete and continuous distributions, including multivariate contexts;
- 2
Analyse and compute expectations, variances, moments, and distributions, applying key results such as the Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem, and moment generating functions;
- 3
Apply simulation techniques and random number generation to approximate probabilities, expectations, and the behaviour of random processes;
- 4
Communicate probabilistic reasoning effectively and apply probability models to formulate and solve real-world problems in science, engineering, finance, and related disciplines.
Workload and teaching
- Applied sessions22 hours
- Seminars36 hours
- Three 1-hour seminars;
- One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
- 7 hours of independent study per week.
Learning resources
Required resources
Dimitri P. Bertsekas and John N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Probability, Athena Scientific, 2002.
Contacts
- Chief Examiners
- Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio
- Unit Coordinators
- Dr Meng Shi
Common questions
What are the prerequisites for MTH2222?
You need MTH1030, MTH1035, ENG1005 or MAT1841 before you enrol; and MTH2010, MTH2015, MTH2021, MTH2025, MTH2040, ENG2005 or MTH2019 before or alongside it.
What can I take after MTH2222?
MTH2222 is a prerequisite or corequisite for 4 units, including MTH2232, MTH3230, MTH3241 and MTH3251. Those lead on to 23 units in all.
When is MTH2222 offered?
In 2027, MTH2222 runs in Semester 1 at Clayton.
Does MTH2222 have an exam?
Yes. The exam is worth 40% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.