UnitLevel 2Undergraduate

MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty

Faculty of Science

MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty is a level 2, 6-credit-point, undergraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2026 in Semester 1 at Clayton. It needs MTH1035, MTH1030, MAT1841 or ENG1005 and unlocks 5 units, leading on to 24 units in all.

Credit points
6
Offered in 2026
Semester 1
Clayton
Assessment
Exam 40%
and 1 other task

This is the 2026 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.

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Requisites

Overview

Introduction to probability - a mathematical treatment. Topics include: probability axioms, conditional probabilities and the law of total probability, discrete and continuous random variables, univariate and multivariate distributions, independence and conditioning, conditional distributions and conditional expectations, moment generating functions, simulation, the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.

Offerings in 2026

Teaching periodCampusMode
First semesterClaytonOn campus

Assessment

  • Continuous assessmentDemonstration
    60%
  • Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination
    40%

Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.

Learning outcomes

When you finish this unit, you should be able to:

  1. 1

    Model and interpret uncertainty using probability spaces, independence, conditional probability, and a range of discrete and continuous distributions, including multivariate contexts;

  2. 2

    Analyse and compute expectations, variances, moments, and distributions, applying key results such as the Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem, and moment generating functions;

  3. 3

    Apply simulation techniques and random number generation to approximate probabilities, expectations, and the behaviour of random processes;

  4. 4

    Communicate probabilistic reasoning effectively and apply probability models to formulate and solve real-world problems in science, engineering, finance, and related disciplines.

Workload and teaching

  • Applied sessions22 hours
  • Seminars36 hours
  • Three 1-hour seminars;
  • One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
  • 7 hours of independent study per week.

Learning resources

Required resources

Dimitri P. Bertsekas and John N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Probability, Athena Scientific, 2002.

Where it fits

MTH2222 is part of 10 areas of study in the 2026 handbook.

Contacts

Unit Coordinators
Dr Meng Shi
Chief Examiners
Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio

Common questions

What are the prerequisites for MTH2222?

You need MTH1035, MTH1030, MAT1841 or ENG1005 before you enrol; and MTH2040, MTH2010, MTH2025, MTH2021, MTH2019, ENG2005 or MTH2015 before or alongside it.

What can I take after MTH2222?

MTH2222 is a prerequisite or corequisite for 5 units, including ADS3001, MTH2232, MTH3230, MTH3241 and MTH3251. Those lead on to 24 units in all.

When is MTH2222 offered?

In 2026, MTH2222 runs in Semester 1 at Clayton.

Does MTH2222 have an exam?

Yes. The exam is worth 40% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.

Which majors and minors include MTH2222?

MTH2222 is part of Applied mathematics; Financial and insurance mathematics; Mathematical statistics; Mathematics; and Pure mathematics.

More details

Credit points
6
Level
2
Study level
Undergraduate
Faculty
Faculty of Science
Organisational unit
School of Mathematics
Type
Coursework
EFTSL
0.125
Student contribution
SCA Band 1
Study abroad
Available