MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty
Faculty of Science
MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty is a level 2, 6-credit-point, undergraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2026 in Semester 1 at Clayton. It needs MTH1035, MTH1030, MAT1841 or ENG1005 and unlocks 5 units, leading on to 24 units in all.
- Credit points
- 6
- Offered in 2026
- Semester 1
- Clayton
- Assessment
- Exam 40%
- and 1 other task
This is the 2026 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.
Reviews
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Requisites
Before MTH2222
Corequisites
Pass these before, or take them in the same semester.
- MTH2040Mathematical modellingNo reviews yet
- MTH2010Multivariable calculusNo reviews yet
- MTH2025Linear algebra (Advanced)No reviews yet
- MTH2021Linear algebra with applicationsNo reviews yet
- MTH2019Multivariate mathematics for data scienceNo reviews yet
- ENG2005Advanced engineering mathematicsNo reviews yet
- MTH2015Multivariable calculus (advanced)No reviews yet
After MTH2222
5 units list MTH2222 as a prerequisite or corequisite.
Overview
Introduction to probability - a mathematical treatment. Topics include: probability axioms, conditional probabilities and the law of total probability, discrete and continuous random variables, univariate and multivariate distributions, independence and conditioning, conditional distributions and conditional expectations, moment generating functions, simulation, the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.
Offerings in 2026
| Teaching period | Campus | Mode |
|---|---|---|
| First semester | Clayton | On campus |
Assessment
- Continuous assessmentDemonstration60%
- Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination40%
Assessment details may change. Please refer to the assessment information in Moodle closer to the start of the teaching period.
Learning outcomes
When you finish this unit, you should be able to:
- 1
Model and interpret uncertainty using probability spaces, independence, conditional probability, and a range of discrete and continuous distributions, including multivariate contexts;
- 2
Analyse and compute expectations, variances, moments, and distributions, applying key results such as the Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem, and moment generating functions;
- 3
Apply simulation techniques and random number generation to approximate probabilities, expectations, and the behaviour of random processes;
- 4
Communicate probabilistic reasoning effectively and apply probability models to formulate and solve real-world problems in science, engineering, finance, and related disciplines.
Workload and teaching
- Applied sessions22 hours
- Seminars36 hours
- Three 1-hour seminars;
- One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
- 7 hours of independent study per week.
Learning resources
Required resources
Dimitri P. Bertsekas and John N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Probability, Athena Scientific, 2002.
Where it fits
MTH2222 is part of 10 areas of study in the 2026 handbook.
- APPLMTH07Additional elective unitApplied mathematicsNo reviews yet
- FININMAT05Option 2Financial and insurance mathematicsNo reviews yet
- MTHSTAT05Level 2 unitsMathematical statisticsNo reviews yet
- MTHSTAT06Core unitsMathematical statisticsNo reviews yet
- MTHSTAT07Level 2 and 3 unitsMathematical statisticsNo reviews yet
- MATHS07Mathematics elective unitMathematicsNo reviews yet
- MATHS09Mathematics elective unitsMathematicsNo reviews yet
- MATHS11Mathematics elective unitsMathematicsNo reviews yet
- MATPURE09Pure mathematics elective unitsPure mathematicsNo reviews yet
- MATPURE11Pure mathematics elective unitsPure mathematicsNo reviews yet
Contacts
- Unit Coordinators
- Dr Meng Shi
- Chief Examiners
- Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio
Common questions
What are the prerequisites for MTH2222?
You need MTH1035, MTH1030, MAT1841 or ENG1005 before you enrol; and MTH2040, MTH2010, MTH2025, MTH2021, MTH2019, ENG2005 or MTH2015 before or alongside it.
What can I take after MTH2222?
MTH2222 is a prerequisite or corequisite for 5 units, including ADS3001, MTH2232, MTH3230, MTH3241 and MTH3251. Those lead on to 24 units in all.
When is MTH2222 offered?
In 2026, MTH2222 runs in Semester 1 at Clayton.
Does MTH2222 have an exam?
Yes. The exam is worth 40% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.
Which majors and minors include MTH2222?
MTH2222 is part of Applied mathematics; Financial and insurance mathematics; Mathematical statistics; Mathematics; and Pure mathematics.