UnitLevel 2Undergraduate

MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty

Faculty of Science

MTH2222 Mathematics of uncertainty is a level 2, 6-credit-point, undergraduate unit from the Faculty of Science, offered in 2025 in Semester 1 at Clayton. It needs MTH1030, ENG1005, MAT1841 or MTH1035 and unlocks 5 units, leading on to 23 units in all.

Credit points
6
Offered in 2025
Semester 1
Clayton
Assessment
Exam 40%
and 1 other task

This is the 2025 handbook entry. See the 2027 entry.

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Requisites

Overview

Introduction to probability - a mathematical treatment. Topics include: probability axioms, conditional probabilities and the law of total probability, discrete and continuous random variables, univariate and multivariate distributions, independence and conditioning, conditional distributions and conditional expectations, moment generating functions, simulation, the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.

Offerings in 2025

Teaching periodCampusMode
First semesterClaytonOn campus

Assessment

  • Continuous assessmentDemonstration
    60%
  • Final assessment - Exam (3 hours and 10 minutes)Examination
    40%

Learning outcomes

When you finish this unit, you should be able to:

  1. 1

    Understand the basic concepts of probability including conditioning and independence, univariate and multivariate probability distributions, expectations, generating functions and limit theorems;

  2. 2

    Appreciate the relevance of probability models to a variety of areas including Science, Engineering, Actuarial Science and Finance;

  3. 3

    Derive means, variances, moments and distributions in a variety of univariate and multivariate contexts;

  4. 4

    Use conditioning and moment generating functions to solve a variety of problems involving two or more events or random variables;

  5. 5

    Understand the way random numbers are generated;

  6. 6

    Formulate in probabilistic terms real-life situations involving uncertainty.

Workload and teaching

  • Seminars36 hours
  • Applied sessions22 hours
  • Three 1-hour seminars;
  • One 2-hour applied class (in weeks 2-12) and
  • 7 hours of independent study per week.

Learning resources

Required resources

Dimitri P. Bertsekas and John N. Tsitsiklis, Introduction to Probability, Athena Scientific, 2002.

Where it fits

MTH2222 is part of 10 areas of study in the 2025 handbook.

Contacts

Chief Examiners
Associate Professor Andrea Collevecchio
Unit Coordinators
Dr Meng Shi

Common questions

What are the prerequisites for MTH2222?

You need MTH1030, ENG1005, MAT1841 or MTH1035 before you enrol; and MTH2040, MTH2015, ENG2005, MTH2021, MTH2025, MTH2010 or MTH2019 before or alongside it.

What can I take after MTH2222?

MTH2222 is a prerequisite or corequisite for 5 units, including ADS3001, MTH2232, MTH3230, MTH3241 and MTH3251. Those lead on to 23 units in all.

When is MTH2222 offered?

In 2025, MTH2222 runs in Semester 1 at Clayton.

Does MTH2222 have an exam?

Yes. The exam is worth 40% of the final mark, alongside 1 other task.

Which majors and minors include MTH2222?

MTH2222 is part of Applied mathematics; Financial and insurance mathematics; Mathematical statistics; Mathematics; and Pure mathematics.

More details

Credit points
6
Level
2
Study level
Undergraduate
Faculty
Faculty of Science
Organisational unit
School of Mathematics
Type
Coursework
EFTSL
0.125
Student contribution
SCA Band 1
Study abroad
Available